The stage is set for a blockbuster final at the 2025 Miami Open as world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka takes on No. 4 seed Jessica Pegula in a battle for the prestigious hard-court title. Both players fought through contrasting semifinals to secure their spots, setting up a thrilling showdown on Saturday.
Sabalenka’s dominant run continues
Sabalenka has been in ruthless form this fortnight, storming into her first Miami Open final with a commanding 6-2 6-2 victory over Italy’s Jasmine Paolini. Owing to her powerful serves and punishing groundstrokes, the Belarusian never faced a break point, firing six aces and breaking serve four times in a match that lasted just 71 minutes.
This is Sabalenka’s 12th WTA 1000 final, and she has yet to drop a set at the 2025 Miami Open. It’s also her second consecutive final, following a runner-up finish to Mirra Andreeva at Indian Wells earlier this month.
After years of struggling at the tournament that feels like home—given her residence in South Florida—the three-time major champion has finally broken past the quarterfinals and even into the title match. The 26-year-old is savoring the rare comforts of home that most tennis pros seldom experience, from sleeping in her own bed and driving her car to handling everyday tasks like doing her own laundry.
Pegula survives late-night thriller
While Sabalenka cruised, Pegula had to dig deep in a 2-hour, 26-minute marathon against 18-year-old wildcard Alexandra Eala, who pushed the American to the limit in a match that ended past midnight. Pegula fought back from 2-5 down in the first set, capitalizing on Eala’s double faults at critical moments, and weathered a fierce comeback from the teenager to seal a 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 victory.
After her late-night match, Pegula admitted to feeling exhausted, having already endured another late-night battle against Emma Raducanu just 24 hours earlier.
Filipino Eala, ranked 140th in the world, arrived in Miami with just two WTA main draw victories to her name. Yet, she stunned three Grand Slam champions—Jelena Ostapenko, Madison Keys, and world No. 2 Iga Swiatek—on her way to becoming the lowest-ranked semifinalist in Miami Open history.
Head-to-head & key storylines
Sabalenka leads Pegula 6-2 in their head-to-head record. In addition, Sabalenka won both of their hard-court finals last year (Cincinnati and the US Open) in straight sets, though three of the four sets went to 7-5.
Pegula believes her improved serving will be crucial against Sabalenka’s elite returns, but she also takes confidence in her own ability to break the Belarusian’s powerful delivery. Sabalenka thrives on fast hard courts, using her aggressive one-two punch to dominate rallies.
Pegula acknowledges Sabalenka’s confidence but knows she’ll have chances if she maintains her sharp returning and capitalizes on key moments—something she couldn’t quite do in their past meetings.
Pegula seeks her fourth WTA 1000 title, while Sabalenka aims to finally conquer what could be considered her home tournament after years of early exits.
Who will lift the Miami Open trophy? Tune in Saturday to find out!
Who are you rooting for? Let us know in the comments!
